Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000243 0.000271 0.000301 0.000336 0.000375 0.000418 0.000470
2025-02-09 0.000188 0.000227 0.000272 0.000331 0.000403 0.000491 0.000606
2025-02-16 0.000158 0.000202 0.000258 0.000333 0.000435 0.000567 0.000754
2025-02-23 0.000136 0.000182 0.000243 0.000330 0.000455 0.000627 0.000890
2025-03-02 0.000121 0.000168 0.000234 0.000332 0.000479 0.000695 0.001043
2025-03-09 0.000108 0.000156 0.000224 0.000331 0.000498 0.000756 0.001194
2025-03-16 0.000095 0.000140 0.000207 0.000317 0.000494 0.000779 0.001286
2025-03-23 0.000087 0.000133 0.000202 0.000318 0.000515 0.000843 0.001457
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000130 0.000203 0.000330 0.000554 0.000943 0.001706
2025-04-06 0.000076 0.000121 0.000193 0.000323 0.000558 0.000982 0.001848
2025-04-13 0.000068 0.000110 0.000179 0.000306 0.000543 0.000984 0.001918
2025-04-20 0.000064 0.000105 0.000176 0.000308 0.000562 0.001051 0.002130
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000104 0.000178 0.000321 0.000606 0.001176 0.002493
2025-05-04 0.000057 0.000098 0.000172 0.000318 0.000617 0.001237 0.002730
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000095 0.000169 0.000321 0.000641 0.001329 0.003060
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000090 0.000164 0.000318 0.000653 0.001396 0.003341
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000087 0.000161 0.000320 0.000674 0.001489 0.003710
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000083 0.000157 0.000319 0.000690 0.001570 0.004063
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000077 0.000147 0.000305 0.000674 0.001571 0.004195
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000074 0.000145 0.000306 0.000694 0.001668 0.004627
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000074 0.000147 0.000318 0.000741 0.001839 0.005327
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000070 0.000141 0.000311 0.000740 0.001883 0.005637
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000065 0.000132 0.000295 0.000714 0.001855 0.005706